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Are Your Emotions Leading Your Crypto Decisions?

Jade Bishop
March 3, 2025
Let's dive into what truly guides our choices when it comes to crypto investing.

Crypto investing isn’t just about numbers on a screen. It’s a rollercoaster of emotions, cognitive biases, and psychological traps.

The 24/7 markets, wild volatility, and social media-fueled hype make crypto a unique space compared to traditional investing. Unlike stocks or real estate, where slow and steady often wins the race, crypto can feel like a high-speed chase—sometimes with a cliff at the end.

Why do we jump into trades at the peak of a rally? Why do we hold onto losing positions far longer than we should? And why do we sometimes sell in a panic, only to watch the price recover hours later? The answer lies in our own psychology.

Let’s break it down and see how you can keep emotions in check while navigating the ups and downs of the crypto market.

1. FOMO (Fear of Missing Out)

FOMO... that all-too-familiar feeling that if you don’t jump in now, you’ll miss out on life-changing gains. Green candles everywhere, Twitter buzzing, and influencers are hyping the latest project. You buy in at the top—only to watch the price tank right after.

Example: The 2021 bull run saw thousands of new investors buy Bitcoin at $60K+, convinced it was headed for $100K. The market had other plans, and within months, BTC crashed below $30K, leaving many stuck at a loss.

Solution: Have a plan. Use dollar-cost averaging to avoid emotional buys and set entry targets instead of reacting to hype. If you feel the FOMO creeping in, take a step back and reassess—there will always be another opportunity.

2. Herd Mentality

When everyone is piling into an asset, it feels like a guaranteed win. But just because something is trending doesn’t mean it’s a good investment.

Example: The Terra/LUNA collapse in 2022 was a textbook case of herd mentality gone wrong. TerraUSD (UST), an algorithmic stablecoin, was supposed to stay pegged to $1. The ecosystem relied on LUNA to absorb fluctuations, but when UST lost its peg, both coins crashed to near zero. Many investors ignored the warning signs because “everyone” was bullish, and Do Kwon, the founder, was a crypto celebrity.

Solution: Always DYOR. Just because an asset is popular doesn’t mean it’s sustainable. Look at tokenomics, risks, and past performance before committing capital.

3. Overconfidence Bias

A few lucky trades can make you feel like a genius. That’s when things get dangerous—confidence turns into arrogance, and risk management goes out the window.

Example: DeFi Summer 2020 was an era of explosive gains. Early investors made massive profits from yield farming and new decentralised finance protocols. But many assumed the insane yields would last forever, taking riskier bets. As unsustainable projects collapsed, overleveraged traders lost fortunes.

Solution: Stay humble. Keep a diversified portfolio, take profits along the way, and never assume you’ve mastered the market. The crypto space evolves fast, and past success doesn’t guarantee future wins.

4. The Gambler’s Fallacy

“This coin has been dumping for weeks—it has to reverse soon!” Not necessarily. Thinking that past events influence future outcomes can be a costly mistake. Just because a coin has dropped for weeks doesn’t mean it’s “due” for a rebound.

Example: BitConnect was a massive Ponzi scheme that promised guaranteed returns through a mysterious “trading bot.”

Even as red flags emerged, many investors refused to believe it could collapse. They kept reinvesting, thinking the past success meant it would continue. When regulators cracked down, BitConnect vanished, and investors lost everything.

Solution: Don’t rely on gut feelings. Use technical analysis and market trends instead of assuming an asset is "due" for a pump. Have an exit strategy for both profits and losses.

5. Loss Aversion & Holding Bags

Losing hurts more than winning feels good. That’s why so many traders refuse to sell losing positions, hoping things will turn around. Nobody likes admitting they made a bad trade. But holding onto losers just because selling feels like failure is a recipe for disaster.

Example: Many investors held onto FTX tokens (FTT) despite growing rumours that FTX was insolvent in 2022. When the exchange collapsed, withdrawals were frozen, and users lost billions. Many ignored the red flags simply because they didn’t want to believe their holdings were worthless.

Solution: Accept when a trade has gone wrong. Cut your losses early and reallocate funds to stronger opportunities. No one wins every trade, but knowing when to walk away is key.

6. Euphoria & the Illusion of Infinite Gains

Bull markets make everyone feel like a genius. But what goes up fast can come down even faster. During bull runs, it feels like prices will only go up. But, excessive optimism leads to poor risk management and reckless behaviour.

Example: During the 2017 and 2021 bull runs, people took out loans to buy crypto, convinced prices would only go up. The inevitable crashes left them not only with losses but also debt.

Solution: Take profits. No asset goes up forever. Use a profit-taking strategy, set sell targets, and always keep some cash on the side for corrections.

7. Panic Selling & Market Crashes

The flip side of euphoria is panic. Fear can be just as powerful as greed. Market crashes trigger emotional decisions that often lead to selling at the worst possible time. When markets crash, many investors sell at the bottom, locking in losses.

Example: March 2020’s COVID-19 crash saw Bitcoin drop 50% in a single day due to widespread panic. Many panic-sold at the bottom, only to see Bitcoin recover and reach new highs within months. Investors who had conviction and held through the downturn benefited massively when the market rebounded.

Solution: Zoom out. Crypto is volatile, but long-term trends matter more than short-term panic. If you believe in an asset, stick to your plan and avoid emotional selling. Develop a long-term perspective. Have an emergency plan for downturns, such as keeping some funds in stablecoins or setting buy limits during dips

How to Master Crypto Psychology

✅ Have a Plan: Define your investment goals, risk tolerance, and exit strategies.

✅ Embrace Volatility: Crypto is a rollercoaster. Accept it and plan accordingly.

✅ Limit Exposure: Only invest what you can afford to lose. Avoid going all-in on risky assets.

✅ Detach from Social Hype: Twitter, TikTok, and Telegram are full of noise—focus on solid research.

✅ Take Profits Strategically: Locking in gains doesn’t mean you’re weak. Take profits when the market offers them.

Crypto investing is a game of both knowledge and emotional control. Recognising these psychological traps will give you an edge over the average retail investor. Understanding FOMO, herd mentality, and emotional biases will help you navigate the market with a clear head.

The goal isn’t to eliminate emotions—it’s to manage them so they don’t wreck your portfolio.

Stay smart. Stay rational. And most importantly—trade with clarity, not emotions. 🚀

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